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Sophic Insights

January 12, 2025: Welcome to 2025! Good News Is Bad…Again
Last week, Dow Jones and S&P fell 1.9%, NASDAQ lost 2.3%. Both S&P and NASDAQ are down nearly 1% so far in 2025, as a hot jobs report spiked treasury yields. Anthropic in is talks to raise funding at a US$60 billion valuation — more than 3x the company’s valuation from around a year ago. Bluesky, an alternative to Elon Musk’s X, is in talks to raise money at a US$700 million valuation in a round led by Bain Capital Ventures. SoftBank’s chip designer Arm is reportedly considering acquiring Ampere computing. CrowdStrike, the cyber security company behind the botched update that took down millions of Windows PCs and servers in July, has more than recovered the US$30 billion in market value it shed in the wake of the crisis. At CES, Nvidia announced a US$3,000 personal AI supercomputer called Digits. Quantum computing stocks dropped Wednesday after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declared that useful quantum computers are many years away — Rigetti Computing fell 40%, IonQ shed 37%, D-Wave Quantum fell more than 30%. Microsoft is planning company-wide performance based layoffs, and investing US$3 billion in AI and cloud services in India. Online spending grew 3% to a record US$1.2 trillion over the holiday period, according to Salesforce. Disney is selling its streaming cable business Hulu + Live TV to smaller rival Fubo TV, in exchange for a 70% stake in Fubo. In Canada, conversational AI startup Cohere unveiled a preview of North, a new product that marries its large language models and search models to help corporate users work faster. Toronto-based e-commerce software aggregator Carbon6 Technologies will be acquired by SPS Commerce for US$210 million. Shopify acquired the Shop.ca domain from Emerge Commerce. Sophic Client, Xcyte Digital announced a new CFO.

January 05, 2025: Weak Santa Rally, Third Year In A Row
Friday was the last day of the Santa Claus rally — Dow Jones was down 0.4%, S&P lost 0.5%, Nasdaq fell 0.7% during that period this time around. While this could presage larger declines during the year, 2023 and 2024 had weak Santa Claus rallies as well, and despite major indices ending the week down – Friday saw strong rebounds. Nvidia CEO, Jensen Huang’s CES 2025 keynote address could provide readthroughs for investors. Amazon struck a warrant deal with electronics manufacturer Jabil. Amazon has a record of equity-for-spending deals with its suppliers. Shares of Carvana fell 2% after Hindenburg Research, published a short report. Tesla said it sold fewer electric vehicles in 2024 than the prior year for the first time since 2010, as China’s electric-vehicle leader BYD posts record sales in 2024. Microsoft is on track to spend US$80 billion on datacenters for running AI software in the twelve months ending in June. In Canada, two more tech companies were taken out last week. Quisitive will be acquired by H.I.G. Capital. For $0.57/sh in cash, a 57.1% premium to the 20-day VWAP. Tech services firm WWT will acquire Softchoice (SFTC-TSX) in all-cash deal, for $24.50/sh – a premium of ~ 32% on the closing price September 23, 2024, (day prior to commencement of the review process). Sophic Client Legend Power Systems announced upsizing of its Non-Brokered Private Placement and closing of first tranche at a price of $0.18/ Unit, distributing 4,233,167 Units for gross proceeds of $761,970. Sophic Client, NowVertical further enhanced core leadership alignment through debt-to-equity conversions. An aggregate entitlement of US$815,000, and US$151,200 will be settled via stock at 33c (11% discount to the last closing price), certain additional cash payments will be spread out over time. These agreements, combined with the previously announced LATAM market unit debt-to-equity conversion, deliver total cash outflow savings of approximately US$1.6 million, significantly supporting NowVertical’s organic growth strategy.

December 29, 2024: Waiting For Santa Claus Rally
Even as markets rallied for most of last week, and closed up, Friday could have given some investors pause. Last week, Dow Jones gained 0.35%, S&P 500 rose 0.7%, Nasdaq Composite was up 0.8%. Palantir and Anduril, are in talks with about a dozen competitors to form a consortium that will jointly bid for US government work in an effort to disrupt the country’s oligopoly of “prime” contractors. The consortium is planning to announce as early as January that it has reached agreements with a number of tech groups. Companies in talks to join include SpaceX, OpenAI, Saronic, and Scale AI. xAI, which develops conversational artificial intelligence in competition with OpenAI, said Monday it raised a US$6 billion in equity financing round from a slew of investors, including new ones from the Middle East. xAI is also testing a standalone iOS app for its Grok chatbot. OpenAI on Friday revealed more details about its plan to get its for-profit arm out from under its nonprofit’s control. Microsoft is reportedly eyeing alternatives to OpenAI in its Copilot product. Big Tech’s spending frenzy on artificial intelligence will continue until the end of the decade, according to the head of Broadcom. Senior Spotify executives and board members have sold US$1.25 billion worth of the company’s stock in 2024 — including US$900 million in payouts for its two co-founders. In Canda, Payfare will be acquired by Fiserv, for $4.00/sh in cash, for total consideration of ~$201.5 million. The Purchase Price represents a premium of ~90% to the closing price on December 20, the last trading day prior to the announcement, and a premium of ~92% to the 60-day VWAP. Sophic Client, NowVertical Group’s LATAM leadership invests in the Company’s future growth through a debt-to-equity conversion. An aggregate of US$1.25 million will be settled via the issuance of 5,432,954 shares at a price of $0.33/sh per share, resulting in cash savings of US$770K in 2025. Bench, a Vancouver based bookkeeping startup that had raised more than US$100 million from well-known venture capital firms, has cut off its service to customers, effectively immediately.

December 22, 2024: Stage Set For Santa Claus Rally?
Last week, Dow Jones lost 2.25%, S&P 500 fell 2% and Nasdaq was down 1.8%. That said, markets ended the week on a better note after the Fed’s less dovish outlook Wednesday. As we enter the seasonal Santa Claus period – it remains to be seen whether Friday’s gains are built upon. Regardless, risks are on the horizon in January – including, potential profit taking on 2024 gains for tax planning purposes and any US tariff related noise, which for now has been largely shrugged off by investors. Fintech Chime filed confidential paperwork for an IPO. Databricks raised US$8.6 billion in funding at a US$62 billion valuation, with plans to raise US$10 billion total. Micron’s shares tumbled on weak demand expectations for consumer chips. Accenture beat quarterly revenue estimates on strong demand for genAI services. Google released new AI reasoning models and prepped chatbots in search. OpenAI announced the new reasoning model, ‘o3’ and made ChatGPT available through phone, text. Chinese shopping app Temu was once again the most downloaded free app in the U.S. In Canada, VitalHub announced a $30 million bought deal. Sophic Client, Legend Power Systems announced a Non-Brokered Private Placement for aggregate gross proceeds of up to $1.5 million. The Company also reported Q4 (Sept) F2024 financial results. Revenue was $705 thousand versus $159 thousand in Q4 F2023. Sophic Client, NowVertical Group announced the release of a New AI financial agent, updating its NowHub-finance solution. Sophic Client, Cybeats provided an update, highlighting the Company’s progress since commercializing its products. BlackBerry will sell Cylance for $160 million, a fraction of the $1.4 billion it paid in 2018. Clio’s record-breaking funding round provided some interesting insight into Canadian companies’ preference to stay private for longer.