Thought Leadership

Last week Dow Jones rose 2%, S&P 500 was up 1.8%, Nasdaq was up 2%, and the small-cap Russell rose 3.3%. Market leadership remains concentrated in the AI, semiconductors and software space. 5 trillion-dollar companies — including Nvidia, Apple, and Amazon — have been behind most of the S&P 500’s 10% gains this year. T. Rowe Price has marked down its stake in Canva by 67.6%. Twitter is now worth just 33% of Elon Musk’s purchase price, Fidelity says. Fidelity also cut its Reddit valuation by 41% since its 2021 investment. Shares of C3.ai plunged 21% after its earnings outlook fails to live up to the AI hype. Twilio shares gain after a report on meetings with an activist. SentinelOne’s shares plunged 35% after disappointing results and guidance. Okta shares plummet after CEO acknowledges sales ‘uncertainty’. Salesforce CEO Benioff predicted an AI spending boom. Even as a number of prominent artificial intelligence researchers signed onto a joint statement drawing attention to the dangers of runaway AI. In Canada, recently laid off Shopify employees filed a $130 million class-action lawsuit. Westbridge reached definitive agreements to monetize 1.4 GW Alberta solar PV portfolio for an aggregate cash purchase price, between $217 million and $346 million subject to adjustments. Generative AI Solutions intends to raise up to $5 million through a non-brokered private placement. Canadian AI computing startup Tenstorrent (valued at $1 billion) and LG partner to build chips. Sophic Clients UGE International and Clear Blue will be attending the inaugural Canadian Climate Investor Conference Thursday June 8th at the Hyatt Regency Toronto. Sophic Client Kraken Robotics announced a $9.5 million contract with the Navy of a large Asia Pacific country. The Company also reported Q1 results, and reiterated guidance — for fiscal 2023, Kraken expect revenue to be in the $66 – $78 million range and adjusted EBITDA in the $12 – $17 million range.

Last week, Dow Jones fell 1%, S&P 500 was up 0.3%, and Nasdaq composite rose 2.5%. In a single session, Nvidia’s market cap swelled by US$184 billion, only Apple, Amazon and Microsoft have ever posted higher dollar gains in a single day, each by an extra US$7 billion at $191 billion. Analysts called Nvidia’s report “amazing,” “epic,” “stunning,” “unfathomable” and “jaw-dropping.” About six-in-ten U.S. adults (58%) are familiar with ChatGPT, though relatively few have tried it themselves, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in March. Shares of Snowflake dropped more than 12% in extended trading after the database provider reported its slowest annual sales growth since its 2020 IPO and cut its fiscal year sales forecast. Meta was fined a record US$1.3 billion over EU user data transfers to the U.S. Elon Musk finally got approval from the Food and Drug Administration to start implanting his company’s brain chips in humans, Neuralink announced Thursday. China’s top Internet regulator said Micron Technology’s products posed a national security risk and ordered companies involved in critical information infrastructure to stop buying them. The chief executive of Nvidia, warned that the US tech industry is at risk of “enormous damage” from the escalating battle over chips between Washington and Beijing. Ford CEO Jim Farley and Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced that in early 2024 more than 12,000 Tesla Superchargers will be operational with Ford vehicles. In Canada, PopReach announced new US$115 million syndicated credit facility. Sophic Client UGE International reported one of its strongest growth quarters in its history, based on numerous metrics. Sophic Client Legend Power reported Q2 (Mar) F2023 financial results — Many new large opportunities continued to advance in our sales funnel, and we continue to believe we will hit our target bookings this year,” said Randy Buchamer, Legend CEO. A handful of deals could bring over $10 million in new potential bookings.

Last week, Dow Jones was up 0.4%, S&P 500 was up 1.65%, Nasdaq rose 3%. More data confirmed last week’s data of falling private valuations: For the first time in more than a decade, returns for venture funds were negative for three consecutive quarters last year, according to research firm PitchBook Data, as investors finally began to mark down startups that had ballooned in value. Initial data for the fourth quarter also show a negative quarterly return. Tiger Global is looking to offload some of its startup stakes. Snowflake is reportedly nearing the acquisition of search startup Neeva. Software company New Relic is in talks to be sold to private equity. EU approved Microsoft’s US$69 billion acquisition of Activision. Buffett exited TSMC while hedge funds Coatue, Tiger Global bought. Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller’s family office pumped a combined US$430 million into Nvidia and Microsoft stocks in big, bold AI bets. The manufacturing cost of Apple’s mixed reality headset exceeds US$1,500 per unit. But internal projections give it the potential to eventually be as big as the iPad or the Apple Watch, as the company adds features and reduces the price with subsequent versions. Almost 5 million people are using Netflix’s ad tier. YouTube says revenue rose to US$40 billion, boosted by subscriptions. Disney is reportedly preparing a standalone ESPN streaming service. Instagram is reportedly testing a Twitter competitor — and the first leaked images indicate a summer release. In Canada, Sophic Client OneSoft reported Q1 revenue growth of 72%, and expects approximately 50% revenue growth in 2023and to achieve near cash-neutral monthly operations late in 2023. Sophic Client Kraken received $1.1 million of synthetic aperture sonar orders. Sophic Client Clear Blue Technologies received a $300,000 roadway expansion project in Oregon. Year to date, Clear Blue’s bookings are $4.6 million, of which $4 million is expected to be recognized in 2023. Canadian venture capital continues to fall back to pre-pandemic levels, according to CVCA. Despite seeing a decline in venture funding both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, Québec attracted more investment than any other Canadian region in the first quarter of 2023.

Markets looked a bit weaker by Friday’s close, as Dow Jones fell 1.1% last week, S&P 500 was down 0.3%, and Nasdaq composite was up 0.4%. The median valuation for growth-stage startups fell to US$90 million in the first quarter, a 75% drop from 2021, according to research firm PitchBook. Klaviyo filed confidentially for a U.S. IPO. PayPal’s profit rises 56% as expenses kept in check. Airbnb reported 20% higher revenue in the first quarter, which it credited to a roughly equivalent increase in the number of nights and experiences booked. Palantir soars 15% after company reports strong earnings and says demand for its AI tool is ‘without precedent’. Berkshire Hathaway cuts stake in EV maker BYD as Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger say they don’t want to compete against Elon Musk. Tesla recalls virtually every car it has sold in China. Shortage of AI servers prompts Microsoft-Oracle negotiations. Google CEO discloses ‘Gemini’ AI to rival OpenAI’s GPT. Metaverse could contribute up to 2.4% of US GDP by 2035, a new study shows. Apple’s Reality Pro headset still coming to WWDC, but Apple is ‘anticipating production issues’. Meta unveils generative AI tool for advertisers. Nintendo warns of big slowdown in Switch console sales. Netflix reportedly plans to cut spending by US$300 million this year. Sophic Client, Kraken Robotics received a $16 million order for SeaPower batteries. Sophic Client LuckBox announced April KPIs including Global Customer Deposits and Player Growth – the Company announced a major step towards profitability in April, by outperforming last month’s record player deposits, all with 40% less Marketing spend. Crypto mining companies like Hive and Hut 8 Mining are finding opportunities to repurpose their GPU-based equipment for another industry on the precipice of a possible boom: artificial intelligence, according to Bloomberg.

After another busy earnings week, Nasdaq was up ~0.1%, as it re-approaches its 2023 highs, Dow Jones was down 1.2% and S&P fell 0.8%. SoftBank’s chip maker Arm Ltd has filed with regulators confidentially for a U.S. stock market listing, Arm said last Saturday, setting the stage for this year’s largest initial public offering. Alibaba’s global online commerce arm weighs a US IPO. Chegg shares plunge 38% after ChatGPT warning. Shares of AMD dropped more than 5% after the chip maker reported a 9% revenue decline in the first quarter. Apple’s revenue fell 3% despite iPhone sales growth. Samsung surpasses Apple in smartphone shipments by 1% amid a persisting market decline. Qualcomm gives a light forecast, phone chip sales fall 17%. Uber revenues rise 29% as ride-hailing business expands. Coinbase revenue drops 34%, and the Company cuts back on costs. OpenAI reportedly lost US$540 million developing ChatGPT in 2022, as the business is expected to be very capex intensive — OpenAI CEO Sam Altman may be aiming to raise up to US$100 billion in the next few years to develop artificial intelligence so smart it can improve itself. Google DeepMind boss predicts AI as powerful as the human brain could arrive within the next few years. IBM to pause hiring for jobs that AI could do. Viasat’s recent satellite launch adds power and flexibility in satellite broadband competition — Potential positive for Sophic Client Clear Blue contract wins. In Canada, venture capital investment in Q1 2023 dropped by 82 percent compared to last year. Sophic Client Kraken Robotics (PNG-TSXV, KRKNF-OTC) forecasts 2023 revenue to be in the $66 – $78 million range and adjusted EBITDA in the $12-$17 million range. The mid-point guidance range ($72 million in revenue and $14.5 million in EBITDA) implies revenue growth of 76% over 2022 and adjusted EBITDA growth of 275%. Shopify soared 28% on strong earnings and the sale of its logistics unit, the Company plans to slash headcount. BlackBerry is considering breaking up its businesses as it reviews its portfolio.

After a rough Tuesday, and a week full of earnings releases, the markets closed the week up. Dow Jones rose 0.9%, so did S&P 500, Nasdaq was up 1.3%. Meta’s Q1 revenue increased 3% as ad business slowly recovers, sending the stock surging after hours. Roku reported flat Q1 revenue, and expects the weak ad market to persist. Intel reported a 36% sales decline, and expects a second half rebound. Sales at Amazon’s cloud computing business grew 16% in the first quarter, the lowest year-over-year growth rate since it started breaking out that segment. Microsoft’s US$68.7 billion Activision takeover has been blocked by UK competition regulator. Apple won its appeal in the App Store legal battle with Epic Games: In one of the most significant battery breakthroughs in recent years, the world’s largest battery manufacturer CATL has announced a new “condensed” battery with 500 Wh/kg which it says will go into mass production this year. Sophic Clients, Kraken Robotics (PNG-TSXV, KRKNF-OTC), OneSoft Solutions Inc . (OSS-TSXV, OSSIF-OTC), and UGE International (UGE-TSXV, UGEIF-OTC) presented at the Planet MicroCap Showcase in Las Vegas this past week, their presentations are available to rewatch in this post. UGE International achieved a notice to proceed milestone for 2.7MW community solar project in Oakland, Maryland. UGE has reached NTP on 12.7MW of projects and commercial operation on 1.4MW of projects so far this year. Sophic Client Clear Blue Technologies announced 2022 financial results. The Company does not need to raise capital, expects to be EBITDA positive by FYE2023, and significant order intake year to date of $3.5M, of which $3.2M to be realized in 2023. Sophic Client LuckBox (LUCK-TSXV, LUKEF-OTC) filed 2022 results. 2022 set the foundation for 2023 player and global betting handle growth, both of which were up significantly following Q4 2022. University of Toronto, and Université de Montréal got a combined $325 million as part of $1.4 billion federal investment into university innovation. Smart display company E2ip Technologies raised $120 million. Ontario Teachers fund to steer clear of crypto after US$95 million FTX loss.