Thought Leadership
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This includes staying current on industry news, reviewing and altering personal strategies and learning from others.
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Latest Research
December 22, 2024: Stage Set For Santa Claus Rally?
Last week, Dow Jones lost 2.25%, S&P 500 fell 2% and Nasdaq was down 1.8%. That said, markets ended the week on a better note after the Fed’s less dovish outlook Wednesday. As we enter the seasonal Santa Claus period – it remains to be seen whether Friday’s gains are built upon. Regardless, risks are on the horizon in January – including, potential profit taking on 2024 gains for tax planning purposes and any US tariff related noise, which for now has been largely shrugged off by investors. Fintech Chime filed confidential paperwork for an IPO. Databricks raised US$8.6 billion in funding at a US$62 billion valuation, with plans to raise US$10 billion total. Micron’s shares tumbled on weak demand expectations for consumer chips. Accenture beat quarterly revenue estimates on strong demand for genAI services. Google released new AI reasoning models and prepped chatbots in search. OpenAI announced the new reasoning model, ‘o3’ and made ChatGPT available through phone, text. Chinese shopping app Temu was once again the most downloaded free app in the U.S. In Canada, VitalHub announced a $30 million bought deal. Sophic Client, Legend Power Systems announced a Non-Brokered Private Placement for aggregate gross proceeds of up to $1.5 million. The Company also reported Q4 (Sept) F2024 financial results. Revenue was $705 thousand versus $159 thousand in Q4 F2023. Sophic Client, NowVertical Group announced the release of a New AI financial agent, updating its NowHub-finance solution. Sophic Client, Cybeats provided an update, highlighting the Company’s progress since commercializing its products. BlackBerry will sell Cylance for $160 million, a fraction of the $1.4 billion it paid in 2018. Clio’s record-breaking funding round provided some interesting insight into Canadian companies’ preference to stay private for longer.
December 15, 2024:No One Went Broke Taking Profits
Markets ended the week mixed. NASDAQ was up 0.3% after hitting a record high Friday morning. Alphabet, and Broadcom rose on news, Tesla hit a record high. Dow Jones fell 1.8%, S&P 500 lost 0.6%. 10-year Treasury yield rose 25 basis points in its biggest weekly gain since October 2023 to 4.4%. ServiceTitan, ended its first day of trading as a public company with a 42% lift in its stock price to US$101, compared with its IPO price of US$71. The holding company of Coincheck debuted on the Nasdaq, making it the first Japanese cryptocurrency exchange to be listed in the US. Databricks nears a record US$9.5 billion VC raise, and is eyeing an extra US$4.5 billion debt deal — a deal that could become one of the largest venture capital funding rounds in history. Shares of Adobe and Oracle fell after their quarterly reports. Google announced new Quantum chip, leading to the stock breaking out. The Company also announced the second generation of its Gemini AI models, and unveiled a new operating system for augmented and virtual reality devices, along with a new headset. Microsoft shareholders rejected a proposal for the tech giant to possibly invest in bitcoin. D-Wave completed a US$175 million stock sale. Ackroo signed a definitive arrangement agreement to be acquired at $0.15/sh, a 25% premium over the last trading day’s closing price. Sophic Client American Aires provides record holiday shopping season sales performance, including 116% YoY order volume growth, 62% Gross Margin. In Q4 through Dec 3rd, the Company produced record order volumes of $6.72 million (+116% y/y). Gross Margin improved to 62% (from 60%). The Company also signed hockey star Max Domi teams as a Brand Partner as part of its expanding partner ecosystem. Sophic Client Plurilock secured a US$1.1 million order from a Fortune 50 U.S. conglomerate. Sophic Client Cybeats won a contract with another top 10 global medical technology provider.
December 08, 2024: Software, AI and Bitcoin
Last week, Dow Jones fell 0.6% after hitting a fresh all-time high Wednesday. S&P 500 was up around 1%, Nasdaq composite rose 3.3% — both indices set records on Friday. The Nasdaq could be looking extended here, as investors seem to have begun bidding up software names. Some investors are of the view that early January could see some selling pressure for tax related reasons. SpaceX is in talks to sell insider shares in a transaction valuing the company at about US$350 billion, a significant premium to a previously mulled valuation of US$255 billion reported by Bloomberg. Stock and crypto trading app eToro has hired Goldman Sachs as it plans a 2025 IPO. Fidelity marked up its equity stake in X by 32% in October. Salesforce stock jumped 6% after hours after reporting quarterly results, even as revenue growth stayed flat. Super Micro, on Monday said an independent investigation into its accounting practices found “no evidence of misconduct” shares surged 29% to US$42. As Bitcoin hit $100,000, Hedge funds made Microstrategy Wall Street’s hottest trade — effectively monetizing volatility in order to provide Microstrategy cash to buy Bitcoin. Google’s CEO Pichai said Wednesday that gains in conversational AI would be harder to come by in the coming years. Amazon unveiled new AI models, chips, and a supercomputer for Anthropic. OpenAI and Anduril will jointly develop AI for U.S. anti-drone systems to improve their ability to detect and respond to aerial threats. Sophic Client, Legend Power Systems Inc. provided a corporate update. Sophic Client Cybeats appointed cybersecurity industry leaders to its Advisory Board. Sophic Client Plurilock secured a $2.5 million order from the Department of National Defense. Sophic Client American Aires – Price is Right – in our report, we compared American Aires’ valuation to MedTech and Direct to Consumer companies. Canadian-founded, US -based AI company Tenstorrent secured more than US$693 million in a Series D funding from a slew of big-name investors.
American Aires – Price is Right
Sophic Capital compares American Aires’ valuation versus its peers, based upon where their stocks trade.
December 1, 2024: Great November, Ready For Santa
Last week, Dow Jones rose 1.4%, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were up 1.1% — Dow Jones and S&P 500 hit record highs. In November, Dow Jones gained 7.5%, S&P 500 5.7% (for their best monthly gains in a year), and Nasdaq rose 6.2%. OpenAI is conducting a share sale for employees to sell about US$1.5 billion worth of shares to SoftBank. CrowdStrike stock fell after issuing a disappointing earnings outlook. Shares of Zoom dropped more than 4% after reporting Q3 results. China’s Huawei Technologies unveiled its latest flagship smartphone featuring a homegrown operating system designed to compete with Google’s Android and Apple. Meta plans to build a US$10 billion subsea cable spanning the world. Meta’s text app, Threads, gained 35 million new signups since Nov. 1, Meta provided the update amid a flurry of news reports about the growth of rival text app Bluesky. Australia passed a law banning social media for under 16s. The Federal Trade Commission has opened an investigation into whether Microsoft has violated antitrust law in multiple segments of its wide-ranging business. In Canada, Sophic Client Ionik reported Q3 results and provided a corporate update. Revenue of US$44.0 million, grew 29% y/y, Adjusted EBITDA of US$5.6 million grew 49% y/y. Sophic Client Plurilock, reported Q3 results — 2024 revenue is on track to exceed 2023 revenue. As of October, year-to-date revenue and Gross Margin already exceeds 2023. The company also announced a US$1.2 million critical services contract with a NASDAQ listed semiconductor manufacturer. Sophic Client, Boardwalktech, reported Q2 Fiscal 2025 results. Annual recurring revenue (“ARR”), at September 30, 2024 was US$4.6 million. The company continues to see growth and expansion from existing customers and expects to see both new direct sales and channel sales contracts. Sophic Client, NowVertical announced a strategic partnership with Microsoft and the launch of a global center of excellence.
November 24, 2024: Rally Back On! IPOs On The Horizon
Last week, Dow Jones gained almost 2%, and set a record close Friday, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite were up around 1.7%.ServiceTitan, which sells software to help tradespeople such as plumbers, electricians and landscapers run their businesses, filed paperwork for its IPO. Klarna’s planned IPO is fueling hopes that a long drought of fintech listings may be coming to an end. AI cloud platform CoreWeave, is aiming for a valuation of over US$35 billion in its expected 2025 IPO. Anthropic raises another US$4 billion from Amazon, and makes AWS its ‘primary’ training partner. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said he doesn’t expect the rate of improvement of large language models to slow down, despite recent reports that upcoming LLMs from his company as well as from Google and OpenAI didn’t show as many performance gains compared to earlier models. OpenAI has discussed powering AI in Samsung devices, similar to Apple. Elon Musk’s xAI startup was valued at US$50 billion in a new funding round. Nvidia forecasts 70% quarterly growth as the AI boom continues. Shares of database provider Snowflake jumped more than 19% after it reported that sales grew 28%. Trump’s social media group is reportedly in talks to buy crypto platform Bakkt. Nasdaq poised to list spot-Bitcoin ETF options as crypto assets rally. In Canada, Sophic Client Ionik acquired Rise4 for a total aggregate purchase price of almost US$20 million, in cash, debt and stock, and an earn-out consideration. Sophic Client Kraken Robotics reported Q3 2024 results. Revenue declined 4% y/y to $19.5 million, owing to lower KATFISH and Remote Mine Disposal System (RMDS) revenue. The Companyh’s 2024 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance remains unchanged (revenue of $90.0 million to $100.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $18.0 million to $24.0 million), implying strong q/q growth in Q4. Sophic Client Intermap was awarded an initial U.S. Department of Defense subcontract. Sophic Client American Aires showcased its technology at the UFC Performance Institute. The first Neuralink clinical trials outside the US will take place in Canada.
Past Research
December 22, 2024: Stage Set For Santa Claus Rally?
Last week, Dow Jones lost 2.25%, S&P 500 fell 2% and Nasdaq was down 1.8%. That said, markets ended the week on a better note after the Fed’s less dovish outlook Wednesday. As we enter the seasonal Santa Claus period – it remains to be seen whether Friday’s gains are built upon. Regardless, risks are on the horizon in January – including, potential profit taking on 2024 gains for tax planning purposes and any US tariff related noise, which for now has been largely shrugged off by investors. Fintech Chime filed confidential paperwork for an IPO. Databricks raised US$8.6 billion in funding at a US$62 billion valuation, with plans to raise US$10 billion total. Micron’s shares tumbled on weak demand expectations for consumer chips. Accenture beat quarterly revenue estimates on strong demand for genAI services. Google released new AI reasoning models and prepped chatbots in search. OpenAI announced the new reasoning model, ‘o3’ and made ChatGPT available through phone, text. Chinese shopping app Temu was once again the most downloaded free app in the U.S. In Canada, VitalHub announced a $30 million bought deal. Sophic Client, Legend Power Systems announced a Non-Brokered Private Placement for aggregate gross proceeds of up to $1.5 million. The Company also reported Q4 (Sept) F2024 financial results. Revenue was $705 thousand versus $159 thousand in Q4 F2023. Sophic Client, NowVertical Group announced the release of a New AI financial agent, updating its NowHub-finance solution. Sophic Client, Cybeats provided an update, highlighting the Company’s progress since commercializing its products. BlackBerry will sell Cylance for $160 million, a fraction of the $1.4 billion it paid in 2018. Clio’s record-breaking funding round provided some interesting insight into Canadian companies’ preference to stay private for longer.
December 15, 2024:No One Went Broke Taking Profits
Markets ended the week mixed. NASDAQ was up 0.3% after hitting a record high Friday morning. Alphabet, and Broadcom rose on news, Tesla hit a record high. Dow Jones fell 1.8%, S&P 500 lost 0.6%. 10-year Treasury yield rose 25 basis points in its biggest weekly gain since October 2023 to 4.4%. ServiceTitan, ended its first day of trading as a public company with a 42% lift in its stock price to US$101, compared with its IPO price of US$71. The holding company of Coincheck debuted on the Nasdaq, making it the first Japanese cryptocurrency exchange to be listed in the US. Databricks nears a record US$9.5 billion VC raise, and is eyeing an extra US$4.5 billion debt deal — a deal that could become one of the largest venture capital funding rounds in history. Shares of Adobe and Oracle fell after their quarterly reports. Google announced new Quantum chip, leading to the stock breaking out. The Company also announced the second generation of its Gemini AI models, and unveiled a new operating system for augmented and virtual reality devices, along with a new headset. Microsoft shareholders rejected a proposal for the tech giant to possibly invest in bitcoin. D-Wave completed a US$175 million stock sale. Ackroo signed a definitive arrangement agreement to be acquired at $0.15/sh, a 25% premium over the last trading day’s closing price. Sophic Client American Aires provides record holiday shopping season sales performance, including 116% YoY order volume growth, 62% Gross Margin. In Q4 through Dec 3rd, the Company produced record order volumes of $6.72 million (+116% y/y). Gross Margin improved to 62% (from 60%). The Company also signed hockey star Max Domi teams as a Brand Partner as part of its expanding partner ecosystem. Sophic Client Plurilock secured a US$1.1 million order from a Fortune 50 U.S. conglomerate. Sophic Client Cybeats won a contract with another top 10 global medical technology provider.
December 08, 2024: Software, AI and Bitcoin
Last week, Dow Jones fell 0.6% after hitting a fresh all-time high Wednesday. S&P 500 was up around 1%, Nasdaq composite rose 3.3% — both indices set records on Friday. The Nasdaq could be looking extended here, as investors seem to have begun bidding up software names. Some investors are of the view that early January could see some selling pressure for tax related reasons. SpaceX is in talks to sell insider shares in a transaction valuing the company at about US$350 billion, a significant premium to a previously mulled valuation of US$255 billion reported by Bloomberg. Stock and crypto trading app eToro has hired Goldman Sachs as it plans a 2025 IPO. Fidelity marked up its equity stake in X by 32% in October. Salesforce stock jumped 6% after hours after reporting quarterly results, even as revenue growth stayed flat. Super Micro, on Monday said an independent investigation into its accounting practices found “no evidence of misconduct” shares surged 29% to US$42. As Bitcoin hit $100,000, Hedge funds made Microstrategy Wall Street’s hottest trade — effectively monetizing volatility in order to provide Microstrategy cash to buy Bitcoin. Google’s CEO Pichai said Wednesday that gains in conversational AI would be harder to come by in the coming years. Amazon unveiled new AI models, chips, and a supercomputer for Anthropic. OpenAI and Anduril will jointly develop AI for U.S. anti-drone systems to improve their ability to detect and respond to aerial threats. Sophic Client, Legend Power Systems Inc. provided a corporate update. Sophic Client Cybeats appointed cybersecurity industry leaders to its Advisory Board. Sophic Client Plurilock secured a $2.5 million order from the Department of National Defense. Sophic Client American Aires – Price is Right – in our report, we compared American Aires’ valuation to MedTech and Direct to Consumer companies. Canadian-founded, US -based AI company Tenstorrent secured more than US$693 million in a Series D funding from a slew of big-name investors.