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Sophic Insights

May 25, 2025: Tariff Headlines Send Market Down, Again
Last week, Dow Jones fell 2.5%, S&P 500 lost 2.6%, Nasdaq composite was down 2.5%, as US tariff fears once again surfaced, and treasury yields rose earlier in the week. President Trump proposed a 25% tariff on imported Apple devices, pressuring domestic manufacturing. OpenAI acquired io, an AI-device startup by Jony Ive, for US$6.5 billion, with plans for AI “companions” potentially adding substantial value. Coreweave raised US$2 billion in bonds, showing strong investor appetite for AI infrastructure. Salesforce resumed acquisition talks with Informatica, while Nvidia criticized U.S. AI-chip restrictions, highlighting significant market share losses in China. Snowflake surpassed US$1 billion in quarterly revenue, buoyed by AI ambitions, and BYD overtook Tesla in European EV sales for the first time. Tesla released a compilation video Tuesday of its Optimus humanoid robots that it says autonomously performed a variety of tasks, including throwing a trash bag into a bin and vacuuming the floor. Google partnered with Warby Parker for AI-powered smart glasses, signaling competitive innovation against Meta and Apple. Apple is aiming to release its AI smart glasses next year. Nvidia introduced NVLink Fusion, allowing integration with third-party AI chips, while Google expanded AI-driven search capabilities to all U.S. users. Canada’s largest pension plan, CPPIB, increased its U.S. investment exposure to 47% despite domestic pressure to allocate more to Canadian assets, driven by better returns (9.6% in the U.S. vs. 5.8% domestically over five years). In Canada, Shopify launched new AI tools, including an AI-powered storefront builder and upgraded Sidekick commerce assistant, emphasizing enhanced merchant experiences and efficiency. In news pertaining to Sophic Clients, Kraken Robotics secured over $3 million in orders. Legend Power Systems reported strong Q2 F2025 revenue growth ($523K vs. $124K), driven by its SmartGATE™ power management system and strategic orders, though higher costs led to a wider net loss.

May 18, 2025: Markets Move Up On US-China Talks
Last week, Dow Jones rose 3.4%, S&P 500 was up 5.3%, Nasdaq composite gained 7.15%. eToro’s stock surged 34% following its Nasdaq IPO, marking renewed investor enthusiasm after recent market volatility. Banking app Chime revealed accelerated revenue growth of 32% in Q1, bolstering prospects for its imminent IPO. Perplexity is discussing raising US$500 million at a US$14 billion valuation, reflecting growing investor confidence in its AI-driven search capabilities. Nvidia and AMD announced significant AI chip deals with Saudi Arabia, capitalizing on relaxed U.S. export restrictions. Coinbase will join the S&P 500 index even as the company reported a customer data breach potentially costing up to US$400 million. CoreWeave’s stock dropped 7% after cautious revenue guidance, despite explosive growth, underscoring investor sensitivity to volatility in AI infrastructure spending. Google ‘super intensely’ debated buying Netflix, according to Google’s CEO. CrowdStrike’s CEO gave away 92% of his voting power. OpenAI said Friday it released an artificial intelligence coding “agent” that can automate software engineering tasks such as fixing bugs and answering questions about a codebase. Google is also working on AI agents, and other features. In Canada, Robinhood agreed to buy WonderFi for $250 million. Shopify shares jumped 18% after announcing its inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 Index. Cohere missed its revenue targets by 85%, highlighting slower-than-expected enterprise AI adoption. Canadian VC activity slowed sharply, with Q1 seed-stage deals hitting a pandemic-era low and exits virtually halted amid trade uncertainty. In news pertaining to Sophic Capital clients, Intermap reported robust Q1 results, growing revenue to $4.3 million from $1.7 million last year, driven by acquisitions and large government mapping contracts. The company reaffirmed 2025 guidance, targeting revenues of $30-35 million with a 28% EBITDA margin. Boardwalktech formed new strategic partnerships and strengthened its advisory board. Cybeats enhanced its SBOM Studio cybersecurity platform with AI-driven features, earning recognition from Canadian government-backed initiatives. American Aires expanded its NASCAR sponsorship.

May 11 2025: Markets Consolidate Ahead Of US-China Talks
Last week, Dow Jones fell 0.2%, S&P 500 lost 0.5%, Nasdaq composite was down 0.3%. eToro is targeting a US$4 billion valuation in its U.S. IPO, aiming to raise up to US$500 million amid improving market conditions. CoreWeave, which faced investor concerns over its heavy debt during its recent IPO, and reduced its IPO target from US$2.7 billion to US$1.5 billion is now exploring additional debt financing. OpenAI abandoned plans to fully separate its for-profit subsidiary from its nonprofit parent after legal challenges, opting instead to restructure into a public benefit corporation. DoorDash expanded internationally through a US$3.8 billion acquisition of Deliveroo and a US$1.2 billion purchase of hospitality software firm SevenRooms. Palantir raised its full-year guidance following strong Q1 results, driven by surging demand for AI analytics software. AMD reported robust 36% quarterly revenue growth fueled by its data-center business, despite ongoing competition from Nvidia. Super Micro issued weak guidance, citing ‘economic uncertainty and tariff impacts’. Rivian cut its 2025 delivery forecast amid tariff-driven disruptions. Disney reported ad revenue gains driven by live sports. Apple announced plans to integrate AI-powered search into Safari, threatening Google’s dominance, while also hinting AI could eventually replace the iPhone within a decade. Apple is also reportedly planning to introduce Meta Ray-Ban style smart glasses around 2027. Uber expanded its robotaxi partnerships. Robinhood plans to launch a blockchain-based platform enabling European investors to trade U.S. securities, underscoring fintech’s growing global reach. In Canada, Shopify reported strong Q1 earnings, posting revenue of US$2.36 billion, a 27% increase y/y despite ongoing trade tensions. Sophic Capital Client, Kraken Robotics subsidiary 3D At Depth completed its 1,000th subsea metrology project, showcasing advanced LiDAR technology and operational efficiency.

May 4, 2025: Key Earnings, Tariff Hopes Raise Market
Last week, Dow Jones rose 3%, S&P 500 gained 2.9%, Nasdaq composite was up 3.4%. Tesla’s Chair denied reports of a plan to look for new CEO. Jeff Bezos plans to sell up to US$4.75 billion worth of Amazon shares over the next 12 months. Amazon successfully launched its first Project Kuiper satellites. Waymo and Toyota are exploring a partnership to develop an autonomous vehicle platform for personally owned vehicles. Meta Platforms on Tuesday released a standalone smartphone app for its Meta AI assistant. Apple has officially approved the first app with links to external payment options in the United States with Spotify. Apple also further shifted its supply chain away from China, significantly increasing reliance on U.S.-manufactured chips and expanding iPhone production in India. OpenAI is incorporating more shopping features into ChatGPT search results. Visa launched AI agent payments tools. Temu has discontinued its direct-from-China shipping model. In news pertaining to Sophic clients, Kraken Robotics grew 2024 revenue 31% y/y to $91.3 million, driven by subsea battery sales, with net income rising sharply to $20.1 million from $5.5 million. Kraken also announced new orders totaling nearly $60 million and the opening of a Nova Scotia production facility in 2025. Ionik reported a 28% increase in annual revenue to US$179.1 million. American Aires achieved a quarterly sales record of $8.6 million in Q4 (130% increase y/y YoY). Aires reaffirmed 2025 guidance projecting revenues of $28–$32 million and EBITDA of $2 million loss to a $2 million gain. Plurilock reported annual revenue at $59.1 million, driven by software and services, improving gross margin to 13.1% from 8.5%. Legend Power Systems secured a significant repeat order for eight additional SmartGATE systems, highlighting strong customer ROI and operational benefits. Cybeats expanded its cybersecurity contracts with Emerson Electric and renewed a key deal with a major U.S. security agency, emphasizing increasing demand for software supply chain security.